New Jersey Real Estate 2026 Outlook

Home sales were down in 2025—and not because of a lack of aspiring homeowners. Many renters continue to say they would prefer to own if they could afford it. The problem is, most have not been able to over the last few years. A report from CBRE found that only 12.7% of renter households could afford a median-priced home. This is down from 17% in 2019. The NJ housing market has been chaotic since the staggering high-home prices of 2022.
The outlook for the 2026 New Jersey housing market is generally optimistic. While most real estate experts are not expecting major shifts in the market this year, those in the know expect better affordability, stabilized prices, growing inventory, and increased sales. 2026 is looking to be a year of rebalance in the real estate market.
2026 Housing Market Trends
1. Increased Affordability
Many average folks have been priced out of buying a home over the last few years. The NJ market has been chaotic, with high interest rates, high housing prices, and low inventory, making it a highly competitive market in which many people could not afford to compete. In 2026, real estate experts expect a modest dip in mortgage rates, making financing more affordable. We also expect to see an increase in inventory, giving buyers more options to shop around for a property that is desirable and affordable.
2. More Activity
One big expectation for the 2026 housing market is more home sales. As inventory increases and financing costs decline, more buyers will enter the market. Someone who could not afford the 2023 market may see a dip in mortgage rates as a sign that 2026 is the year to buy. Given how unbalanced the market has been, even small improvements in affordability will open the door to more home sales. Zillow reports that it expects home sales to increase by 4.3% in 2025.
Increased activity is expected across buyer types, from first-time homebuyers to growing families looking to upgrade or retirees ready to downsize. As more homes hit the market and buyer demand increases, previously reluctant sellers may feel more confident about selling.
3. Slowed Price Growth
The home price appreciation rate has dropped significantly from pandemic-era rates. In 2022, the home appreciation rate was 15-20% nationally. For 2026, a home appreciation rate of 1-4% is expected. This slower, steadier growth allows for real estate prices to stabilize. This isn’t the red-hot sellers market of a few years ago. Instead, we are working with a more balanced market.
Advice for Buyers and Sellers
So, what does this mean for buyers and sellers?
In 2026, buyers have a lot to be optimistic about. Increased affordability gives buyers the opportunity to explore more real estate options. Instead of just focusing on affordability, buyers have a little more wiggle room to focus on value, condition, location, and aesthetics. Still, buyers need to remember this is still a competitive seller’s market. Prospective buyers need to remain strategic in accomplishing their real estate goals. Getting pre-qualified can help buyers move quickly and decisively to secure a good deal when they see one.
While sellers have lost a bit of their power over the last few years, 2026 is still a seller’s market. Increased activity means more buyers on the market to purchase your home—and hopefully results in less time your property sits on the market. To be successful in 2026, sellers need to focus on strategic home pricing. Price growth is slowing. Sellers need to work with experienced local realtors to determine a price that attracts buyers while still netting the seller a good return on their investment.
While price growth has slowed, sellers are still profiting from high sales prices. One way to ensure you get top dollar for your property is to present it in the best possible light. Spend some time investing in the aesthetic appeal of your property.
What about renters?
Rent affordability is expected to get better in 2026. Median-income households spent, on average, 27.2% of their household income on rent in October 2025. This is the lowest figure since August 2021. Multifamily rents are only expected to rise 0.3% in 2026. This gives households a chance for their income to catch up to the cost of renting.
Veitengruber Law is an experienced NJ real estate attorney. We work with NJ homeowners to achieve their real estate goals while protecting their assets and getting the best deal. From contract negotiation to title research to closing, we are with you every step of the way.




